Sitemap - 2024 - Economics Uncovered

Major downward revision to US job growth emphasises weakening employment market

Retail sales, jobless claims, manufacturing data and the NAHB housing survey

US CPI Review: July 2024

US CPI Preview: July 2024

Why the latest US jobs report points to a recession and what it means for the Fed and financial markets

Fed sets the stage for a September rate cut as more job market data shows growing weakness

Key JOLTS indicators weaken further in June, raising recession concerns

Weak disposable income growth continues to point to a major economic slowdown

June PCE inflation: deepening services disinflation paves the way for rate cuts

Medium-Term US Inflation Update: Broadening disinflation to pave the way for a significant rate cutting cycle

US CPI Review: June 2024

US CPI Preview: June 2024

US jobs report points to the growing risk of a recession

Personal consumption growth has materially moderated, but private wage growth rebounds

May PCE Price Index Review: a significant move in the right direction

Jobless claims: a concerning spike or just missed seasonality?

Unpacking the US Economy and Markets: a detailed review and outlook

US CPI Review: May 2024 (plus a Fed & PPI update)

US CPI Preview: May 2024

The latest US jobs report is not as strong as it may seem

Continued weakness in disposable income growth points to a material economic slowdown

Latest PCE inflation data provides positive signs, but the Fed will want more before it cuts rates

GDP revision paints a notably more modest picture as anticipated economic slowdown may have arrived

US CPI Review: April 2024

US CPI Preview: April 2024

Why the Fed's reduction in the pace of QT is critical for markets

Finely balanced

PCE inflation remains too strong in March, but the medium-term outlook is more positive

US economic growth remained robust in Q1 and could accelerate in Q2 — but a very different story may emerge in 2H24

US CPI Medium-Term Forecast Update: Don't rule out multiple rate cuts just yet

US Economic and Market Summary & Outlook

Alternative BLS rental data points to major disinflation in CPI rents

Monthly retail sales growth likely not as strong as seasonally adjusted numbers suggest, but spending remains relatively solid

PPI, wage data provide positive signs on inflation, whilst jobless claims remain low

US CPI Review: March 2024 — not as bad as it seems

US CPI Preview: March 2024

Latest jobs data adds support to the soft landing narrative

US CPI Medium-Term Forecast Update

Reviewing the latest PCE inflation, spending and personal income data

Are expectations for shelter disinflation misguided or is major disinflation on the way?

Deciphering the outlook for services prices

Fed turns increasingly dovish, adding further fuel to financial markets

Stalling disinflation & robust growth: a look at the latest PPI and retail sales data

US CPI Review: February 2024 — stalling disinflation raises recession risks

US CPI Preview: February 2024 — a critical report for the interest rate & market outlook

The household survey is flashing a recession

Does January's spike in OER signal bad news for the Fed's 2% inflation goal?

US Jobs Report Preview: growing potential for a significant negative surprise

A big week ahead: be sure not to miss these important updates

US PCE Inflation Update: A bumpier ride ahead

Economics Uncovered: an important update

Quarterly Global Economic Update

US CPI Review: January 2024 (with flash February CPI estimates)

US CPI Preview: January 2024 (plus the impact of the CPI weight update on the 2024 outlook)

A roaring economy and a recession, simultaneously: the latest US jobs data is all over the shop

What the latest US Treasury QRA means for the economy & markets

Quarterly US Inflation Update

Signs of a significant weakening are now being seen in the US jobs market

US CPI Review: December 2023

US CPI Preview: December 2023

US Economic Summary & Outlook: December 2023